Monday, March 01, 2021

Truncated Sanitizer

When I was young, I was instructed to listen carefully and respectfully to the ravings of mad men as they might contain clues to wisdom not found elsewhere. I heeded the advice for the practical reason that annoying a mad person twice your size could bode trouble. (This is a simile, not a sarcasm) 

So when I heard about the controversy about putting sanitizer inside people to protect them from coronavirus disease my ears stood up, another simile, and I recalled my childhood mathematics tutor in Bengal who regularly put a drop of mustard oil in his nostrils to clear his sinus of bacteria and lubricate his mind. I could not bring myself to follow his example and convinced myself that I had oil-free bearings in my head. Without delving in semantics or philosophical psychology one can easily truncate sanitizer into sanity which, if introduced into people results in a healthy and prosperous society.

 Unfortunately, the real problem is not putting it in people, the real problem is finding it. (This is humor and not simile.) We often tend to forget that all future viruses were taken into account when the human genome was originally designed and we all have the thing called immune system that can besiege and render any virus harmless before it can damage any of the organs. So if you eat food that improves your immune system such as fruit, nuts and dairy products and have a zest for life you should be ok.

Although there are many antiviruses available for computers, I have not yet seen any for people. All the hand sanitizers I have seen have ‘antibacterial’ written on them. None mentions viruses. So, I assume that anything that is antibacterial may also be used to eliminate external viruses with faith in God or Allah as the case may be. Soap is good protection against viruses as according to medical people it dissolves the skin of the virus and kills it instantly. However, if a moron on the hill advises you to add a piece of soap to the chloroquine, don't do it. Eating, injecting or pouring soap solution in your nose will only irritate you and may be harmful. 

Ever since the non-Islamophobic French scientist Luis Pasteur, mankind has come to believe that vaccines are the only cure for communicable diseases. The original vaccine production technique was to infect a horse with a bacterium, draw his blood and separate the serum which contained the antibodies that fought the bacteria. If the antibody was introduced into a human body, it would multiply and lie in wait to hunt the specific bacteria for many years to come. Apparently, horse sense was able to decode the genetic profile of the bacterium and generate a code for a DNA that could identify and destroy the bacteria in the blood and flesh etc. 

Until a few years ago it was believed that there can be no vaccine for a viral affliction which normally gets naturally cured within a week or two. However, with the development of powerful computers and highly deft robots it is possible to sequence and molest the hypothetical double helix of the DNA and find an inverted sequence that can neutralize the original stuff. Some antivirus vaccines are made from castrated viruses that cannot grow but can attract the wrath of the immune system that results in the production of antibodies by a natural process that scientist cannot imitate. 

The million-dollar question now is whether it is possible to create a mental sanitizer that can bring about sanity.

Friday, February 12, 2021

The monotheistic God

The Jews according to Torah portray God (Yahweh) as a desert wandering shrewd businessman who made many deals with individuals he thought could build Empires for him and controlled his subjects by making them oppress each other and by causing disasters. 

 Christian concept of God as in Bible (New Testament) is of a Playboy in the Penthouse of heaven who briefly visited the earth to immaculately impregnate Virgin Mary and then left his loved woman and innocent son at the mercy of the Romans. 

 Allah is the Muslims' preferred name for God. It signifies a being that embodies attributes of as many as 99 adjectives. The word Allah carries a sense of purity and majesty not conveyed by the more common word God. After centuries of bickering on its semantics, Muslim scholars , decided that the word Allah is a proper noun, rather than a derivative of the word elah which means sustainer, and collectively represents all the 99 attributes mentioned in the Holy Quran.

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

THE IMF QUAGMIRE

IMF is known to be the world's most powerful financial institution. Its board of trustees consists of representatives from various governments who have contributed its seed capital. Hence the IMF is not answerable to anybody except the largest shareholder. They are said to have the world's largest team of highest ranked economists and financial experts. They specialize in formulating mathematical models of a country's economy and analyze it. Probably they use Einstein’s tensors and supercomputers to execute their analyses. However, since my knowledge is limited to Newtonian mechanics, I would try to convey my observations in a language that my wife would understand. Blogging, in any case, is love’s labor. From close scrutiny of the terrific things that have happened in countries that sought assistance from IMF in their hour of peril, it seems that there exists an IMF dollar that makes the ordinary US dollar disappear. Wherever this august institution extends its helping hand, severe scarcity of US dollars takes place and its price in local currency inflates, often to determined levels. This inflation of the dollar or in other words the devaluation of the local currency creates contrasting scenarios when viewed from different perspectives. To the IMF actuaries who maintain accounts in US dollars, it results in the shrinking of the local debt in dollar terms dollars and the total debt in current dollars reduces. That is a good indicator. However, the local economists notes that whereas the local currency debt is constant the local currency equivalent of the dollar or other currency debts has increased in proportion of the devaluation and the total national debt in local currency has increased and a larger chunk of tax collected would go into debt servicing. It actually happens that way. The tale of woes does not end there. If the GDP in local currency remains the same or increases at a rate less than the devaluation, then the GDP in current dollars will register a hefty decline. That would be a bad indicator and cause embarrassment. Now, the local currency GDP can be increased in two ways; either by rapidly increasing the volume of indigenous production or by instantly inflating the costs of goods and services. The former requires dynamism, capital goods to expand industries, finding new markets, additional skilled labor, and increased supply of raw materials assuming that additional capital is available. The latter is extremely easy, it just requires mismanagement. So, the cost of local goods and services must inflate to bring the local currency GDP to such a level that current dollar GDP exceeds the previous year’s value. A simple numerical example should suffice to elucidate the complicated logic. Thanks to the IMF economic package USD parity grew from 100 to 160 PKR. Soon price of wheat flour rose from 40 to Rs. 64 per kg and sugar, rice, vegetables, meat, poultry, clothing, stationery, and everything else followed suit except salaries of civil servants; therefore, bribe rates and police extortion were upgraded accordingly. Now all indicators are good, and the IMF has done a great favor to this Godforsaken nation.

Sunday, May 10, 2020

Looking Back




Here is an excerpt from one of my old manuscripts which may seem pertinent in the present perspective:

This author’s thinking is based on the hypothesis that the universe has been objectively engineered with intended perfection, but in order to allow a certain freedom of action and eventual accountability there could be an intentional margin of deviation in God's creations. After all, the disobedience of Satan must have been documented in the Holy Qur’an with a purpose. True that God is perfect, but nowhere has He proclaimed that any of His creations is also perfect. The imperfection of His creations by no means diminishes His own greatness.

Scientists had surmised that the Earth and the Moon had condensed from hot gases that had spilled off the Sun, but recent discoveries haves shown that the compositions of the Earth and the Moon differ from the Sun suggesting that the two were formed at some remote spot in space and launched in orbit around the Sun as also hinted in Verses 5 to 10 of Chapter 55 in Qur’an.  It is possible that the Earth was targeted to be inclined at a quarter of a right angle to its orbital plane, but actually it turned out to be 23.5 degrees i.e. one degree more, or that the year was meant to be exactly 360 days and not 365 and a quarter as it actually is or that the lunar cycle was meant to be exactly thirty days but it strayed a little to twenty nine and a half or so. A 30 day lunar month and a 360 day year would seemingly have been a perfect combination; the phase of the moon would indicate the date and the constellation would show the month and if we looked keenly enough in the sky we might find a way to count the years as well. But since we cannot change it we have no choice but to accept it as God’s wisdom. However, we can change the course of rivers, harness the winds, seed clouds for rain and defy gravity by flying machines to our advantage as God has given us authority over the material universe – and we must advise and help others in finding the right way of life.

Similarly, disease, natural disasters and evils exist not because those were created by God as spontaneous expressions of His wrath but as a consequence of the imperfections of the creations; and God has set in motion a process of evolution and guidance of human beings for the rectification of these defects and for improvement in the quality of His creations. Adam failed the first test he was put to and Satan rebelled on the first command he did not like. The merciful God surely would not have built maladies, perversions and disasters into His perfect plan of creation. Reflection on the relevant texts of the holy Qur’an and the Bible suggests that the earth was originally planned to be a paradise and eventually after its destruction and the Day of Judgment it will be reconstructed as Paradise (Verse 36:81) for the pious and noble souls to live in absolute bliss forever free from all natural disasters, bacteria, viruses and diseases with plentiful supply of the most relished foods that will never become stale. The perfect world to be created then is destined to last forever.

Even more important is the fact that all the tangible knowledge of Physics, chemistry, biology, electronics, mechanics and much of mathematics that is or will ever be written in books is already at work in the human body and in the environment around us. Birds can fly because they are aerodynamically designed by God and they are born with the knowledge of aerodynamics so that they may glide or propel themselves in air and take off and land safely. Man is not discovering Science, but only learning to express what is already inherent in him, and so is woman who is born with the ability to form a baby inside her. The rest is speculation.

Saturday, May 02, 2020

Military and Religion


Military and religious forces have played very significant roles in the formation of history and shaping the political geography of the earth.

The military is based on the instinct of freedom and religion on the instinct of faith which are quite diverse but individually admirable. However, both have had in places much less admired consequences and have some common characteristics.

Points of similarity between military and religious establishments are:

1. Both have an autocratic top boss.

2. Both have well defined hierarchies.

3. Both have strict dicipline.

4. Both have special education and training.

5. Both have distinctive attire or uniforms.

6. Both demand absolute loyalty from rank and file.

7. Both work in the name of a supreme authority to whom people do not have direct access.

8. Both contribute naught their country's GNP.

9. Both exploit fear of the unknown, the enemy across the border or life after death.

10. Both are quite prosperous.

Thursday, April 16, 2020

Conversation in Heaven 4




Q: What has been done to give mankind a last chance?
A: A virus has been spread to persuade them to change their habits. They call it covid-19.

Q: How does it work?
A: Due to fear of infection they are staying home and refraining from immoral and promiscuous activities.

Q: How will ideological contamination be removed?
A: Congregations have been stopped and sectarian and religious brain washing has reduced considerably. Given a break, many will realize the futility of their superstitions and the absurdity of what they regard as scriptures.

Q: Is it more effective than AIDS?
A: Many times, as movement and contact is restricted.

Q: What areas are covered?
A: Entire world simultaneously.

Q: How will cognitive aberrations be removed.
A: They are taking food to strengthen immune system. This would improve chemical balance and clear confusions.

Q: How will the distorted knowledge base be rectified.
A: People with reformed intellect will produce literature to replace the old polluted and misleading syllabi and texts.

Q: Are people available to perform the above mission.
A: Yes, but they are not prominent.

Sunday, March 29, 2020

Man-made Epidemic


On 18 March 1915 Bill Gates gave Ted talk on possible next virus epidemic and its consequences. He is likely to have been helped by some conaciencious Indian born American senior executives of Microsoft.
Ebola virus was contained within 3 West African countries by effective isolation from the rest of the world.
On 5 August 2019 India embarked on an experiment of large scale lockdown involving 8 million people in Kashmir. The human tragedy in the denial of all fundamental human rights to 8 million people for no reason should have shaken the earth. But everyone except some nondescript busybodies chose to look the other way. India must have shared the data acquired in the first three months with its close allies.
It takes only a few hours to do a complete dna sequencing of a virus and there is adequate data on characteristics and influence of dna fragments to be able to splice them into new viruses of desired characteristics.
US, India and Israel formed a nexus to harm and eventually destroy the emerging international influence of China.
On 31 December 2019 WHO reported mysterious pneumonia sickening dozens in China which was later recognized as novel Corpnavirus and the outbreak was named Covid-19.
China imposed complete lockdown on Wuhan and Hubei the two affected areas and concentrated entire national resources on control and elimination of the virus desease.
On 18 March 2020 there were no fresh cases of Covid-19 infection in China and the virus came under sustantial control after over 81,000 infections and over 3,200 deaths.
The Klashmiris are still caged like guinea pigs and Covid-19 has spread to 199 countries on the last count.
The number of infected world population now about 700 thousand is rising by a compound rate of about 10% per day. The total number of dead is nearly 32 thousand and is growing at compound rate of about 12% per day.
Oddly enough USA is the current pack leader in infections while the Europeans seem to be competing in fatality.
In Asia, Iran is the only country after China with uniquely constant but alarming infection and fatallity. The virus has reached Pakistan through Iran probably taking the same route as Kubhushan Yadev.
The numbers are easily available on web and are changing so fast that quoting them seems futile.
Round the clock info can be obtained from the below URL:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
There is a string of reports about new test equipment, medicines, vaccines etc being developed to combat the epidemic. Let us hope that the losses and damages will be minimized.
The world may not be the same again after Covid-19. However, the most important question is 'what lessons will mankind learn from this misadventure?'

We can only wait and see.

.

Sunday, March 22, 2020

Covid-19 in Pakistan


There is a lot of talk about lockdown or curfew in Pakistan to restrict the spread of covid-19. No one is mentioning the constitutional or legal provision for it. 
Since the govetnment does not have a complete register of labour force, it may result in a disaster. Lockdown may work in urban areas with strong social service NGO networks such as Karachi. With quick surveys and logistic arrangements it may be implemented in many orher cities. It will be very difficult to implement in rural areas. If not overseen strictly it may give rise to malssive corruption and exoitation.
Moreover, so far there has been not a single report of infection in rural areas.  More staltitics are needed to develop a strategy for rural areas. But time is of essence.
PM Imran Khan's hesitation is understandable. CM Murad Shah's confidence is based on the resolve of Karachi NGOs. We shall see what happens in other parts of Sindh.

Monday, February 17, 2020

Overseas Pakistanis


Pakistanis' Economic Contribution Worldwide                                      (countries with over 20,000 pakistanis)
Serial No. Country No of Pakistanis pc gdp usd Contribution USD
1 saudi arabia 2,700,000 22,865 61,735,500,000
2 uk 1,520,000 41,030 62,365,600,000
3 uae 1,210,000 37,749 45,676,290,000
4 usa 550,000 65,111 35,811,050,000
5 oman 235,000 17,791 4,180,885,000
6 france 165,000 41,760 6,890,400,000
7 canada 205,000 46,212 9,473,460,000
8 kuwait 130,000 29,266 3,804,580,000
9 qatar 150,000 69,687 10,453,050,000
10 bahrain 112,000 25,273 2,830,576,000
11 malaysia 120,000 11,136 1,336,320,000
12 italy 110,000 32,946 3,624,060,000
13 south africa 100,000 6,100 610,000,000
14 greece 90,000 19,974 1,797,660,000
15 spain 82,000 29,961 2,456,802,000
16 germany 72,000 46,563 3,352,536,000
17 afghanistan 72,000 513 36,936,000
18 thailand 66,000 7,791 514,206,000
19 australia 60,000 53,825 3,229,500,000
20 norway 42,000 77,975 3,274,950,000
21 netherland 40,000 52,367 2,094,680,000
22 denmark 35,000 59,795 2,092,825,000
23 22 countries 7,866,000 Total 267,641,866,000
24
pakistan total gdp in 2019 for 220 million people
usd 284.21 billion
prepared by mnasim_99@yahoo.com.

Friday, November 29, 2019

Nawaz Sharif’s Money Trail




Way back in September, 2016 when the Panama scandal became public and a number of news reports appeared in the press, I wrote a blog titled “Immaculate Enrichment.” In it I had suggested that the money with which Nawaz Sharif had acquired the London properties may have come from Pakistani state coffers, but in view of caution I refrained from speculating on how this could have happened. As the public discussion unfolded it was stated that GIK, Benazir and Gen. Musharraf had all carried out thorough investigations but had failed to unearth any evidence of corrupt practices by him. When his friends asked him about his extraordinary fortunes, he just laughed it out saying he had got lucky.
Moreover, when his trial for assets beyond means started, he stone-walled completely and did not offer any documents or records of transactions relating to the properties. According to NAB laws inability to justify assets by a public office holder is by itself a crime and he was sentenced to 7 years in prison. Soon afterwards his brilliantly wily daughter Maryam managed to arouse a sleezy scandal about the judge who had sentenced him with the help of obviously doctored audio and video recordings hoping to get his sentence set aside. It has not happened yet. But having seen the true horrible face of the man who failed a record three times as prime minister, it seems that the money trail he has been hiding for so many years must be unearthed.
It all started in the seventies of the last century when Pakistan embarked upon the quest for an atomic bomb and the Kahuta uranium enrichment project was initiated. As soon as news about the construction of a gas centrifuges to enrich uranium reached the western intelligence agencies, a wide-ranging ban on export of equipment and material useful in the project was imposed. The problem was circumvented by setting up dummy trading offices in various countries and anonymous offshore bank accounts. Equipment, instruments and materials were sourced from different countries, paid for honestly from the clandestine accounts and routed through various countries avoiding the ban. This procurement arrangement later became known as the A.Q. Khan network. Nothing unusual as the technique is used by sensitive agencies of many countries.
When Nawaz Sharif became prime minister, he became the custodian of a huge secret fund in foreign currency from which he would order transactions on request from the managers of Kahuta. Since there was no audit of the secret fund and the transaction orders were coded there was nothing stopping him from opening his own offshore accounts and transferring money to them without being caught. Probably, the same money was used in 1993 and later to buy properties abroad. He may have repeated the exercise when he became prime minister a second time and perhaps even the third. Nawaz visited the Virgin Islands at least once, probably more, when he was prime minister. He was also smart enough to close the accounts with Mossack Fonseca of Panama in 2014 and have the companies delisted in 2015.
This explains why he constantly refused to justify the ownership of those properties by any tangible documents. Any of those could have pointed to a clue to the money trail which would have led to the secret state coffers.
If the records have not been destroyed already, it should be possible to trace the money trail of Nawaz Sharif’s overseas properties. Moreover, since the PPP leadership that followed in the footsteps of PML(N) was quick to learn from its predecessors, some of Asif Zardari’s overseas properties may also by traced in the process.
 Let us see how much money can be recovered in this way.

Emailed to PM Office – no acknowledgement or response
Emailed to Chairman NAB – bounced 3 times, abandoned